NQ Flow Report
Week Ahead: October 12–18, 2025
Market Concept Overview
Following last Friday’s sharp selloff, Nasdaq futures enter the new week under renewed short-term pressure. The prior week’s rally above 25,300 was fully reversed, closing near 24,160 and forming the largest weekly decline since April. While higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, Friday’s liquidation introduced a potential transition phase between trend continuation and balance.
The market now faces a test of how much buying interest remains as participants reassess risk ahead of next week’s key economic releases.
Key Levels & Reactions
The 24,160 zone represents the new short-term pivot for buyers, marking the lower boundary of the recent rotation. Sustained trade below this level could invite deeper testing toward 23,800 and 23,400. Overhead, sellers remain active near 24,900 and 25,100 — the lower edge of the breakdown zone from last week’s reversal.
Acceptance back above 25,100 would suggest that the selloff was corrective rather than trend-defining, while failure to reclaim this area keeps pressure tilted lower.
Volatility & Timing
This week’s tone is expected to remain reactive as traders position ahead of upcoming inflation data.
Volatility may stay elevated in early sessions as participants digest last week’s directional imbalance.
Watch for intraday rotations and potential attempts to rebuild value between 24,400 and 24,900 before the next directional leg develops.
Late-week rhythm could slow as markets await next Tuesday’s CPI print — one of the final key data points before the November FOMC meeting.
Takeaway of the Week
The Nasdaq futures market begins the week of October 12 in a corrective posture.
Price remains within a long-term bullish structure, but sentiment has shifted to cautious as traders await confirmation of whether last week’s move was a temporary flush or the start of a deeper retracement.
The balance between 24,100 and 25,000 will define near-term control heading into mid-October.
Upcoming High-Impact Events
Monday, October 14: U.S. Retail Sales
Tuesday, October 15: PPI and Industrial Production
Wednesday, October 16: Weekly Jobless Claims, Fed Speakers
Friday, October 18: Consumer Sentiment Index
